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Steve Cieciuch’s First Quarter 2013 Market Analysis

written by Steve Cieciuch, Director

Coming off the heals of a very strong 4th quarter in 2012, anticipation of continuing momentum in 2013 was high. Unfortunately, the snow Gods went on hiatus and our ski season started off with the least amount of snow I have witnessed in 23 years. Its always tough to gain momentum given such circumstances and the proof was in the pudding with a lackluster January of $9.7M in total sales volume.  In addition to the poor snow conditions, I believe there was a bit of a buying hangover in the first quarter of 2013. The fast and furious pace to effectuate sales before year end of 2012, in part prompted by pending capital gains tax increases for sellers and buyers converting stock market gains into hard assets, brought more buyers to the closing table than previously witnessed throughout the first three quarters of 2012.

As the snow improved in February, closings did as well, as total sales volume jumped to $22.4M a 19% increase in dollar volume and an 18% increase in transaction volume versus February 2012.  Although March increased in dollar volume by 29% over February, it declined by 18% in dollar volume and 17% in transaction volume versus March 2012.

Notable sales in the 1st quarter of 2013 included:

Town of Telluride

Address   Sold Price Asking Price % off Asking Price   SQFT Beds/Baths   Price/s.f.   Days on Market
127 S. Oak B $1,475,000 $1,795,000 5.6% 2,433 4/4.5 $606 466
Element 52 W102 $1,775,000 $1,895,000 6.3% 1,884 3/3 $942.14 720
713 E Columbia $1,131,250 $1,450,000 22% 1,834 2/2 $616.65 258

Mountain Village

Address   Sold Price Asking Price % off Asking Price   SQFT Beds/Baths   Price/s.f.   Days on Market    
See Forever Village A206 $1,438,000 $3,600,000 60% 2,498 3/4 $575.66 837
Pine Meadows 126 $1,217,500 $1,595,000 24% 3,508 4/4.5 $347.06 721
110 SnowDrift $5,250,000 $7,990,000 34% 8,481 6/7.5 $619 1,283
111 Autum Lane $8,700,000 $18,500,000 53% 15,418 9/9.5 $564 484
222 Russel Dr. $2,750,000 $4,395,000 37% 4,981 5/4.5 $402 2,341

Outlying Mesas

Address   Sold Price Asking Price % off Asking Price   Acres Days on Market    
Lot 3 Golden Ledge – Deep Creek Mesa $1,675,000 $1,950,000 14% 35.01 321

A market sector that has been quite active is Town of Telluride remodel opportunities.  Homes priced between $800,000 and $1,200,000 are limited in supply and offer potential upside based on four sales of homes in 2012 of $1,000 per s.f or greater.   Bank owned opportunities are becoming fewer and farther between, however, one significant bank owned opportunity was swooped up in Mountain Village. A 15,418 s.f. 9 bedroom, 9.5 bath contemporary home closed for $8.7M or $564/s.f., a significant discount and excellent purchase from its original list price of $18,500,000.

The second quarter looks promising with 45 properties in San Miguel County under contract ranging in price from $57,000 in Norwood to $5,700,000 for 472 West Columbia Ave in Telluride. Slowly but surely the market continues to experience an absorption of inventory and depending on the market sector, declining inventory.  The best buys are in market sectors that have a preponderance of inventory such as Mountain Village condominiums or areas currently garnering less attention such as vacant land in Mountain Village and outlying subdivisions.

 
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Posted by on May 9, 2013 in Real Estate

 

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The Skiing is Phenomenal!!

Damon Demas, Albert Roer, Eric Saunders Skiing in Telluride

Damon Demas, Albert Roer, Eric Saunders Skiing in Telluride

Written by Eric Saunders, Broker

The Skiing is PHENOMENAL!!!

With over 4 feet of snow in the last week and a 175 inches total for the year, the mountain is skiing incredibly well. They just opened Palmyra Peak and Gold Hill Chutes 6-8. A few of my associates and I were doing some field work today (please see picture) where we hiked and skied Gold Hill Chute 6, so we can attest to the mountain being in great shape. Knee to waist deep powder in most spots. The mountain is 100% open and the snow is fantastic.

Isn’t it time you quit working and moved to Telluride to enjoy this incredible lifestyle? See you on the slopes!!!

 
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Posted by on February 25, 2013 in Community, Lifestyle

 

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Most of the Market is No Longer Scraping the Bottom

Written By MIke Shimkonis, Director, Senior Broker

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The 2012 year end real estate numbers have just been posted and practically every market segment has shown improvement in 2012, making it the strongest year since the peak in 2007. Nearly $365 million and 444 transactions occurred in 2012 representing a 47% increase in dollar volume for San Miguel County and 16% increase in number of transactions over 2011.

In Mountain Village the dollar volume increase is 69% over 2011 and just a 1% increase in the number of sales. Dollars and numbers showed nearly equal growth in the town of Telluride when adding all segments together and county sales recorded strong dollars, with a smaller increase in the number of transactions sold.

Drilling down deeper, the number of condo sales in town picked up tremendously with a 66% increase in sales yet the dollar volume was nearly identical at $41+ million in that sector, meaning that several less expensive condos sold in town versus 2011. The story is even more remarkable for single family homes in the town of Telluride with a 175% increase in the number of homes sold in 2012 versus 2011 (33 versus 12) and a 46% increase in dollar volume. Apparently town is THE place to be for many buyers. There were several good bank-owned buys in town as well as the largest number of vacant land sales occurring (14) since 2004.

Up on the other side of the ski mountain in Mountain Village, the story is similar as several good single family homes were purchased, many on the golf side of the village, with a 109% increase in number of homes sold (23 this year versus 11 in 2011). Several $5+ million homes sold in the village in 2012 marking a return of strong interest in the luxury home segment. Condos in Mountain Village saw strong activity too as $53 million in sales were transacted versus $46.7 million in 2011 yet 60 condos sold this year versus 75 in 2011. There remains several super bargains on luxury condos in Mountain Village at Elkstone 21, Cassidy Ridge and one remarkable penthouse standout that at one point was worth $3.6 million and now asking $1.795 million, Stargazer Penthouse at the Peaks. There are a few in town too.

One of the strongest signs of a stabilizing real estate economy was illustrated as vacant land sales in Mountain Village (and Telluride as mentioned above) continued to show signs of improvement with a 69% improvement in dollar volume in the village and 100% increase in number of transactions in town. There continues to be excellent land buys in Mountain Village.

Vacant land sales in Aldasoro and Ski Ranches continue to be relatively light, although Aldasoro saw an even number of land sales (3) over 2011. Some of the year’s biggest values were plucked up in single family home sales in Ski Ranches as at least six bank-owned properties were purchased by smart buyers looking for value, privacy and views.

Even fractional sales, long a consistently strong segment of the Telluride market, strengthened further as an average of 1.6 memberships were purchased per month in Telluride and over 5 memberships per month were purchased in Mountain Village.

Unfortunately, the one weak spot is the sale of deed-restricted (i.e. affordable local’s housing) condos and homes in town, the village and the county. Surprisingly few locals have been able to take advantage of historically low interest rates in setting roots here. At the same time, the local rental market has been very active, hopefully indicating that locals are saving money in order to make down payments for deed restricted homes and condos in 2013.

Despite the crazy and shocking news events happening in America and the world, Telluride remains a truly remarkable retreat from the madness. Not knowing that I was writing a year-end real estate market update, I asked my wife earlier today why she likes living here for the past 20 years and her responses ring true with practically all other full time and part time residents: “it’s peaceful, spectacularly beautiful, safe, with an awesome quality of life and excellent school district. I love that you can be outside most of the year. It’s a pleasant environment temperature wise, animal wise, with a meaningful small town feel and lots of fun activities for our family.” I couldn’t have said it better myself!

 

 
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Posted by on January 28, 2013 in Real Estate

 

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Telluride Real Estate Market Update – 2012 Summary

Written by Brian O’Neill, Senior Broker/Director

Number of Transactions 2007-2012 Dollar Volume 2007 - 2012

After a dismal start to 2012 in January and February, the year ended very strong with a 47% increase in dollar volume over last year and a 16% increase in the number of transactions with the average dollar amount per transaction improving 27%. More notable was the fact that dollar volume and number of transactions were the highest since 2007, with almost every market segment improving in 2012 and a few segments even exhibiting slight appreciation.

Home sales in the Town of Telluride were the most impressive market segment with a nearly 200% increase in the number of transactions over last year and almost a 50% improvement in dollar volume. The condominium market in Town saw a strong increase in the number of transactions, but dollar volume remained the same with smaller condominium sales carrying the day, except for a few transactions including the upscale Element 52/Auberge Resorts property. Land sales had a nice uptick as buyers found the depleted home selection reason to build; a sign that our market has turned the corner. Overall, the Town’s dollar volume improved significantly.

The Mountain Village market as a whole enjoyed a similar surge in dollar volume, partially due to the return of larger home purchases. Home sales more than doubled over last year and condominium dollar volume improved slightly, while the number of transactions shrank as buyers moved towards higher priced product. The Mountain Village condominium market remains the most attractive with many great opportunities such as the beautiful log townhomes at Tristant. Land sales also improved noticeably in Mountain Village furthering the general belief that the two town markets have stabilized.

The outlying regions of the Telluride market saw improvement in 2012 with the Ski Ranches and Aldasoro subdivisions leading the way. Vacant land sales on the mesas saw improvement as well, as investors saw an opportunity to diversify their portfolio with dramatic ranch parcels.

Despite a slow snow year, visitors continue to enjoy Telluride and invest in the lifestyle it has to offer. Interest rates remain extremely attractive and the various tax and estate planning benefits that hard assets offer have helped drive the market. As the uncertainty continues to dissipate, it is likely that this market momentum will continue.

 

 
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Posted by on January 21, 2013 in Real Estate

 

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It’s Snowing in Telluride!

Happy Holidays from Snowy Telluride! Hope to see you soon.

Snowy View of Telluride Ski Area

Snowy View of Telluride Ski Area & Gondola

 

 
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Posted by on December 14, 2012 in Lifestyle

 

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Colorado Mountain Resorts Market Analysis

Colorado mountain resorts show improvement through the 3rd quarter
Article Courtesy of Land Title Guarantee Company

Land Title is a local company within Colorado and has been in business since 1967. To help partner with our customers and local communities, we’d like to share some valuable information on the real estate market in six of our Colorado mountain communities of Aspen (Pitkin County), Breckenridge (Summit County), Steamboat Springs (Routt County), Glenwood Springs (Garfield County), Winter Park (Grand County), and Vail (Eagle County).

Real estate continues to show improvement throughout the Colorado mountain communities.

  • In all 6 counties, sales volume has stayed steady or increased over the same time period in 2011.
  • The total number of transactions has also increased in each of the 6 counties tracked, except for Pitkin and Routt Counties where transactions are lagging over 2011.
  • Bank sales are increasing in the majority of these areas.
  • Single family home prices have remained flat or increased over the same time period of 2011.
  • Pitkin County has the highest single family prices averaging just over $4 million per transaction which is nearly four times greater than Eagle County’s single family average sales price.
  • Eagle County has seen the most transactions, 1,146, followed by Summit County with 1,055.
  • Pitkin County has had the highest dollar volume through the first three quarters of 2012 with over $1 billion in sales.
  • New construction has been most active in Routt and Grand Counties with 66 and 58 transactions respectively.
Overall, these six mountain communities have produced over $3.3 billion in real estate sales through the 3rd quarter of 2012.

Click to read the entire article.

 
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Posted by on November 28, 2012 in Real Estate

 

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Conde Nast Names Telluride #1 Ski Resort in North America

#1. TELLURIDE, COLO. 94.3

2. WHISTLER BLACKCOMB, B.C. 91.4
3. DEER VALLEY, UTAH 90.5
4. JACKSON HOLE, WYO. 90.4
5. BEAVER CREEK, COLO. 90.3
6. SUN VALLEY, IDAHO 89.0
7. STOWE, VT. 88.5
8. VAIL, COLO. 88.5
9. ASPEN, COLO. 87.8
10. CRESTED BUTTE, COLO. 86.6
11. PARK CITY, UTAH 85.7
12. STEAMBOAT, COLO. 84.9
13. SNOWMASS, COLO. 83.9
14. MONT TREMBLANT, QUEBEC 82.7
15. ASPEN HIGHLANDS, COLO. 82.5
16. SQUAW VALLEY, CALIF. 82.0
17. LE MASSIF DE CHARLEVOIX, QUEBEC 81.1
18. MT. BACHELOR, ORE. 80.3
19. LAKE LOUISE MOUNTAIN RESORT, ALBERTA 80.2
20. TAOS SKI VALLEY, N.M. 80.1

 
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Posted by on November 23, 2012 in Community, Lifestyle

 

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